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2024-12-14 00:39:41

Guotai Junan expects Hong Kong stocks to fluctuate upward in an N-shaped pattern next year to explore domestic demand and improve investment opportunities. Chen Ximiao, chief analyst of Guotai Junan's overseas strategy, said that looking forward to 2025, the disturbance factors in the Hong Kong stock market from the external environment will continue, and the pace of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve under overseas inflation, policy restrictions in areas such as strong US dollar and tariffs, and game friction among big countries will continue. However, the domestic policy thinking is clear, economic expectations are expected to stabilize under the financial impetus, and the profitability of molecular enterprises will improve, and the industrial chain will be able to cope with it. She said that in 2025, the sensitivity of the Hong Kong stock market to external shocks is expected to decline, and more attention should be paid to returning to its own logic. For the trend of Hong Kong stocks in 2025, it is expected to be dominated by the upward pattern of N-shaped shocks, and there are many opportunities for flexibility during the stage. In 2025, we should still actively look for the structure, and focus on the barbell strategy to shift the weight of the two ends. We need to pay more attention to the configuration rhythm and pay attention to the repair opportunities of some domestic products.Kyle Rodda, a financial market analyst in Capital.com, looks forward to the US CPI in November: The expected CPI data basically gives the Fed a green light to cut interest rates next week, which may be the gold catalyst we need to see. 


Guotai Junan expects Hong Kong stocks to fluctuate upward in an N-shaped pattern next year to explore domestic demand and improve investment opportunities. Chen Ximiao, chief analyst of Guotai Junan's overseas strategy, said that looking forward to 2025, the disturbance factors in the Hong Kong stock market from the external environment will continue, and the pace of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve under overseas inflation, policy restrictions in areas such as strong US dollar and tariffs, and game friction among big countries will continue. However, the domestic policy thinking is clear, economic expectations are expected to stabilize under the financial impetus, and the profitability of molecular enterprises will improve, and the industrial chain will be able to cope with it. She said that in 2025, the sensitivity of the Hong Kong stock market to external shocks is expected to decline, and more attention should be paid to returning to its own logic. For the trend of Hong Kong stocks in 2025, it is expected to be dominated by the upward pattern of N-shaped shocks, and there are many opportunities for flexibility during the stage. In 2025, we should still actively look for the structure, and focus on the barbell strategy to shift the weight of the two ends. We need to pay more attention to the configuration rhythm and pay attention to the repair opportunities of some domestic products.Bernstein: Raise the target price of American Airlines from $14 to $24, and upgrade its rating from "keep pace with the market" to "outperform the market".On the first anniversary of listing, the index of Morgan Standard & Poor's Hong Kong Stock Connect low-wave dividend ETF has risen by more than 20% in the past year. Since the beginning of this year, the performance of high dividend assets in Hong Kong stocks has been eye-catching, which has driven the relevant dividend index to strengthen. Wind data shows that as of December 10th, the low-wave dividend index of S&P Hong Kong Stock Connect rose by 27.16% in the past year, significantly exceeding the increase of 12.01% in the CSI dividend index and 17.76% in the CSI dividend low volatility index. As the only ETF tracking the low-wave dividend index of S&P Hong Kong Stock Connect in China, it is also the largest ETF of its kind. Morgan S&P Hong Kong Stock Connect Low-wave dividend ETF(513630) may become the preferred configuration for many investors. (CSI)


Market News: The Ukrainian military said that the attack on the Russian oil depot triggered a "fire".The Israeli army has launched more than 350 attacks in Syria. According to the news of Syrian Human Rights Watch on December 11th, local time, up to now, Israel has launched more than 352 attacks in Syria, destroying military facilities in 13 provinces in Syria. On the 10th local time, the Israel Defense Forces issued a statement saying that up to now, the Israeli military has cracked down on 320 strategic targets in Syria and destroyed weapons that may fall into the hands of hostile forces. According to Israeli military estimates, more than 70% of Syria's military forces have been destroyed.Molding technology: The transaction amount of selling Jiangsu Bank shares was 226 million yuan. According to the announcement of molding technology, the company sold 25 million shares of Jiangsu Bank through centralized bidding from December 4, 2024 to December 11, 2024, with a transaction amount of 226 million yuan. After the sale, the company also holds 25,000,600 shares of Jiangsu Bank. This transaction is conducive to optimizing the company's asset structure, revitalizing existing assets, improving asset liquidity and efficiency, and meeting the company's capital needs for future development. The sale is expected to have a positive impact on the company's financial position and cash flow.

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